Michigan vs UCLA: March Madness Elite 8 Betting Odds and Picks – March 30, 2021

Posted on March 29, 2021 - Last Updated on April 19, 2021

The top-seeded Michigan Wolverines (20-4) and the No. 11 UCLA Bruins (17-9) will compete for a spot in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Tuesday. Michigan is favored by 7.5 points in the East Region bracket final, which starts at 9:45 PM ET.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 29, 2021, 12:10 AM ET.

Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Michigan -7.5 -114 -106 135.5 -112 -108

Keys to the Game for Michigan

  • Michigan beat the spread more often than not this season, going 19-7 against the spread.
  • When they play as at least 7.5-point favorites, the Wolverines have an ATS record of 11-4.
  • Michigan usually does not hit the over, only eclipsing the point total in 11 of 26 games (42.3%).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Michigan Leaders

  • The scoring and rebounding leader for the Wolverines is Hunter Dickinson, who averages 14.2 points and 7.6 rebounds per game.
  • Mike Smith leads the Wolverines in assists, averaging 5.4 per game while also scoring 9.3 points per contest.
  • Isaiah Livers’ 2.2 threes per game leads the Wolverines.
  • The Michigan steals leader is Franz Wagner, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Dickinson, who compiles 1.4 rejections per contest.

Keys to the Game for UCLA

  • The Bruins have a 15-14 record against the spread, covering in 51.7% of their games.
  • The Bruins have not fared well as a 7.5-point underdog going 3-5 against the spread.
  • UCLA and its opponents have hit the over in more than half of their games this year — 17 of 29 (58.6%).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

UCLA Leaders

  • Johnny Juzang outpaced his teammates on the Bruins scoring front by putting up 15.0 points per game. He adds 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game this season.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s 6.1 rebounds per game and Tyger Campbell’s 5.4 assists per game put them in the top spots on the Bruins rebounds and assists leaderboards.
  • Juzang leads the Bruins in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 2.0 made threes per game.
  • UCLA’s Jaquez has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.2 per game and Jalen Hill is first in blocks with 1.0 per game.

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Bruins (+7.5)

Pick OU:
Over (135.5)

Prediction: Michigan 74, UCLA 68

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Last 5 Games

Michigan

UCLA

Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
3/28/2021 Florida State Win 76-58 3/28/2021 Alabama Win 88-78
3/22/2021 LSU Win 86-78 3/22/2021 Abilene Christian Win 67-47
3/20/2021 Texas Southern Win 82-66 3/20/2021 BYU Win 73-62
3/13/2021 Ohio State Loss 68-67 3/18/2021 Michigan State Win 86-80
3/12/2021 Maryland Win 79-66 3/11/2021 Oregon State Loss 83-79

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
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