Oklahoma vs Missouri: March Madness Betting Odds and Picks – March 20, 2021

Posted on March 16, 2021 - Last Updated on April 19, 2021

The No. 8 seed Oklahoma Sooners (15-10) are a 2-point favorite in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 9 seed Missouri Tigers (16-9) on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The contest starts at 7:25 PM ET on TNT. Here are insights into this West Region 8-9 matchup to help you fill out your bracket.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 16, 2021, 12:10 AM ET.

Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Oklahoma -2 -112 -109 141 -108 -112

Keys to the Game for Oklahoma

  • Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread more often than not this season, going 12-13.
  • The Sooners record against the spread as at least a 2-point favorite is below .500 at 4-11.
  • Oklahoma and its opponents have hit the over in just 44% of games (11 out of 25 matchups).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Oklahoma Leaders

  • The leader in scoring, rebounding and assists for the Sooners is Austin Reaves, who puts up 17.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game.
  • Umoja Gibson provides the most three-point shooting production for the Sooners. He knocks down 2.2 threes per game.
  • Elijah Harkless is the Sooners leader in steals, averaging 2.0 steals per game, while Kur Kuath leads them in blocks with 1.4 per contest.

Keys to the Game for Missouri

  • Missouri has covered the spread in fewer than half of its contests, going 12-13 ATS.
  • The Tigers have not fared well as a 2-point underdog going 7-8 against the spread.
  • Missouri has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 56% of matchups this year (14 out of 25 chances).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Missouri Leaders

  • Dru Smith takes the top spot on the Tigers scoring and assist lists, tallying 14.1 points and 3.9 assists per game.
  • Jeremiah Tilmon’s 7.0 rebounds per game paces Missouri’s rebounding effort. He also adds 12.3 points per game.
  • Xavier Pinson makes more threes per game than any other member of the Tigers, averaging 1.7 treys per game.
  • Smith is the steals leader for Missouri with 2.0 steals per game and Tilmon leads the squad in blocks with 1.4 per game.

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Tigers (+2)

Pick OU:
Over (141)

Prediction: Oklahoma 73, Missouri 72

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Head to Head

The Sooners are 1-0 against the Tigers in the last one meeting between the two teams. In those matchups with the Tigers, the Sooners have a 1-0 record against the spread.

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
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