Wisconsin vs Penn State: Big Ten Tournament Betting Odds and Picks – March 11, 2021

Posted on March 11, 2021 - Last Updated on April 19, 2021

The No. 6 seed Wisconsin Badgers (16-11) are favored by five points in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals over the No. 11 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (12-12). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 9:00 PM ET live on BTN, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 9:10 AM ET.

Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Wisconsin -5 -112 -109 134.5 -107 -113

Keys to the Game for Wisconsin

  • The Badgers hold a losing record against the spread this season, going 12-14 ATS.
  • The Badgers have fared well as a 5-point favorite, going 9-7 against the spread when favored by at least 5 points.
  • The Badgers have gone over the point total the majority of the time, in 13 of 26 games (50%).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Wisconsin Leaders

  • The Badgers leader in points and assists is D’Mitrik Trice, who scores 13.7 points per game along with 3.9 assists.
  • Micah Potter is Wisconsin’s best rebounder, grabbing an average of 5.9 boards in each contest while scoring 12.9 points per game.
  • Trice makes more threes per game than any other member of the Badgers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.
  • Brad Davison is the Badgers leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Nate Reuvers leads them in blocks with 1.2 per contest.

Keys to the Game for Penn State

  • Penn State has an even record against the spread, going 11-11 ATS.
  • When they are at least 5-point underdogs, the Nittany Lions have a record ATS of 2-4.
  • Penn State has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 40.9% of matchups this season (9 out of 22 chances).

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Penn State Leaders

  • Myreon Jones owns the Nittany Lions top spot in scoring with 15.5 points per game and also tacks on 2.8 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest.
  • The Nittany Lions leaders in rebounds and assists are John Harrar (8.7 rebounds per game) and Jamari Wheeler (3.5 assists per game).
  • Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Nittany Lions, averaging 2.5 treys per game.
  • Wheeler leads the Badgers with 1.2 steals per game and Seth Lundy is their top shot blocker with 0.6 blocks per game.

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Nittany Lions (+5)

Pick OU:
Over (134.5)

Prediction: Wisconsin 71, Penn State 69

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Head to Head

Wisconsin has taken four of its last five matchups against Penn State. In those matchups with the Nittany Lions, the Badgers have a 2-1 record against the spread.

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
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